08-12-2021, 07:57 PM

The American Assn of Pediatricians gives weekly numbers for COVID in children. Their numbers are extracted from the states' public data, and of course each state does it differently. What counts as children may be ages 0-17, 0-18, 0-19, or 0-20.

Children and COVID-19: State-Level Data Report

Among their data was a state-by-state breakdown of what percent of children's cases resulted in hospitalization. I thought this was a useful number to know, so I calculated it from the CDC tables by dividing

hospitalizations/100K for age group in last week by

cases/100K for age group in last week

These numbers are likely to be low because cases are climbing and hospitalizations lag behind cases. But it is a first crack at it.

From:

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker...csovertime

https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html

Week ending 7/31/2021

Age Wk Cases/100K Hosp/100K Hosp/Cases

0-4 59.8 1.2 2.0%

5-11 84.8 0.4 0.5%

12-15 96.4

12-17 ~104.5 0.7 0.7%

16-17 120.8

18-29 157.9 2.7 1.7%

30-39 146.7 5.5 3.7%

40-49 120.2 7.0 5.8%

50-64 84.1 8.3 9.9%

65-74 59.3 9.6 16.2%

75+ 52.4 ~13.7 26.1%

75-84 12.7

85+ 16.3

Because the age ranges were different, I had to calculate some of the numbers from others, indicated by "~"

I find these numbers surprisingly high. Ok, maybe 26% of 75+ have to be hospitalized. That seems dramatic. But one out of 6 cases in the age group 65-74 have to be hospitalized? One out of 10 cases in 50-64? One out of 200 K-6 student cases? (Remember, they aren't vaccinated)

The average size of a primary school in the US is 442 (in 1999-2000). If COVID burns through all the unvaccinated students, an average of 2 will need to be hospitalized.

Children and COVID-19: State-Level Data Report

Among their data was a state-by-state breakdown of what percent of children's cases resulted in hospitalization. I thought this was a useful number to know, so I calculated it from the CDC tables by dividing

hospitalizations/100K for age group in last week by

cases/100K for age group in last week

These numbers are likely to be low because cases are climbing and hospitalizations lag behind cases. But it is a first crack at it.

From:

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker...csovertime

https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html

Week ending 7/31/2021

Age Wk Cases/100K Hosp/100K Hosp/Cases

0-4 59.8 1.2 2.0%

5-11 84.8 0.4 0.5%

12-15 96.4

12-17 ~104.5 0.7 0.7%

16-17 120.8

18-29 157.9 2.7 1.7%

30-39 146.7 5.5 3.7%

40-49 120.2 7.0 5.8%

50-64 84.1 8.3 9.9%

65-74 59.3 9.6 16.2%

75+ 52.4 ~13.7 26.1%

75-84 12.7

85+ 16.3

Because the age ranges were different, I had to calculate some of the numbers from others, indicated by "~"

I find these numbers surprisingly high. Ok, maybe 26% of 75+ have to be hospitalized. That seems dramatic. But one out of 6 cases in the age group 65-74 have to be hospitalized? One out of 10 cases in 50-64? One out of 200 K-6 student cases? (Remember, they aren't vaccinated)

The average size of a primary school in the US is 442 (in 1999-2000). If COVID burns through all the unvaccinated students, an average of 2 will need to be hospitalized.