Taiwan is interesting. Â With quarantines & tracing, they had done a great job of keeping COVID at bay. Â With 23.5M people, their total number of cases to a week ago was around 1200 with only 125 or so acquired locally.
But then one case slipped out. Â As I understand it, a hotel worker from a hotel where pilots stay (quarantined) got sick, and it wasn't until his 3rd trip to the hospital that he got tested. Â Meanwhile, they were getting 20 or so imported cases a day (cases found before they entered the country).
Then we see a typical spread in Taipei (showing indigenous cases, not imported),
Tuesday 5/11 - 7 local cases (a record)
5/12 - 16
5/13 - 29
5/14 - 181
5/15 - 206
5/16 - 333
5/17 - 240
5/18 - 267
5/19 - 286
5/20 - 312
5/21 - 321 + 400 retroactively for the past week.
5/22 - 287 + 170
5/23 - 334 + 256
5/24 - 281 + 261
5/25 - 302 + 331
5/26 - 401 + 266
5/27 - 297 + 258
5/28 - 320 + 166
5/29 - 266 + 89
5/30 - 274 + 73
5/31 - 262 + 65
6/1 - 372 + 177
6/2 - 364 + 219
6/3 - 339 + 133
6/4 - 476 + 35
6/5 - 335 + 8
I hope I'm wrong, but it seems their well-protected tinder has caught fire. I hope they can stamp it out. Â I'm worried that their great tracing mechanism that worked so well at their borders may be overwhelmed.
OTOH, the rapid increase in numbers may be coming from a well-working tracing effort that is out rounding up all possible exposures. Â However, apparently spread has been partially through brothels, where tracing may not be so easy. Â (They do publicly list where each case has been. Â I don't know their culture as to whether that would be viewed negatively.)
I think it was Wed. that they had a record number of daily vaccinations (< 12K) of AZ. Â Only 315K doses had arrived in Taiwan. Â While they've "secured" 20M doses, for instance 5M Moderna aren't due to arrive until late June. Â 10M of the 20M will be AZ. Â They will be producing vaccine locally in July.
I have a relative who took a university position there partly to escape COVID. Â He reports that they won't close the restaurants until they have 14 days of 100+ cases a day. Â (He is considering his options.)
But then one case slipped out. Â As I understand it, a hotel worker from a hotel where pilots stay (quarantined) got sick, and it wasn't until his 3rd trip to the hospital that he got tested. Â Meanwhile, they were getting 20 or so imported cases a day (cases found before they entered the country).
Then we see a typical spread in Taipei (showing indigenous cases, not imported),
Tuesday 5/11 - 7 local cases (a record)
5/12 - 16
5/13 - 29
5/14 - 181
5/15 - 206
5/16 - 333
5/17 - 240
5/18 - 267
5/19 - 286
5/20 - 312
5/21 - 321 + 400 retroactively for the past week.
5/22 - 287 + 170
5/23 - 334 + 256
5/24 - 281 + 261
5/25 - 302 + 331
5/26 - 401 + 266
5/27 - 297 + 258
5/28 - 320 + 166
5/29 - 266 + 89
5/30 - 274 + 73
5/31 - 262 + 65
6/1 - 372 + 177
6/2 - 364 + 219
6/3 - 339 + 133
6/4 - 476 + 35
6/5 - 335 + 8
I hope I'm wrong, but it seems their well-protected tinder has caught fire. I hope they can stamp it out. Â I'm worried that their great tracing mechanism that worked so well at their borders may be overwhelmed.
OTOH, the rapid increase in numbers may be coming from a well-working tracing effort that is out rounding up all possible exposures. Â However, apparently spread has been partially through brothels, where tracing may not be so easy. Â (They do publicly list where each case has been. Â I don't know their culture as to whether that would be viewed negatively.)
I think it was Wed. that they had a record number of daily vaccinations (< 12K) of AZ. Â Only 315K doses had arrived in Taiwan. Â While they've "secured" 20M doses, for instance 5M Moderna aren't due to arrive until late June. Â 10M of the 20M will be AZ. Â They will be producing vaccine locally in July.
I have a relative who took a university position there partly to escape COVID. Â He reports that they won't close the restaurants until they have 14 days of 100+ cases a day. Â (He is considering his options.)