05-13-2021, 03:09 AM
I find it encouraging that Santa Clara County has its lowest average number of daily new cases in 10.5 Â months and the numbers continue to drop. Â As of 5/4/21, there were 68 new cases per day, and the slope is downward. Â On 6/19/20, the county was at 71 and has been higher than that ever since. Â On 5/4/20, we were averaging only 17 cases. (And then the end of May hit...)
In 2 or 3 weeks, I think we will have fewer new cases than a year before. Â Yeah!
It may be much longer to get down to 17 cases/day. (It has taken 3 months to drop by a factor of 4 to get to where we are now.)
Unfortunately, for both now and then, the case numbers are depressed because of people not being tested. Â The reasons are probably different now than then.
We probably are approaching the point that case tracing may be feasible again. Â We know so much more now. But is it worth tracing? Â Quite possibly not.
Oh, the lies we tell ourselves..... I drove down El Camino in Sunnyvale today and noticed a "Outdoor dining" sign on a tent that as far as I could tell completely enclosed the "outdoor dining". Â I would bet that that "outdoor" volume has fewer air replacements per hour than the adjacent indoor dining area (with forced air circulation).
In 2 or 3 weeks, I think we will have fewer new cases than a year before. Â Yeah!
It may be much longer to get down to 17 cases/day. (It has taken 3 months to drop by a factor of 4 to get to where we are now.)
Unfortunately, for both now and then, the case numbers are depressed because of people not being tested. Â The reasons are probably different now than then.
We probably are approaching the point that case tracing may be feasible again. Â We know so much more now. But is it worth tracing? Â Quite possibly not.
Oh, the lies we tell ourselves..... I drove down El Camino in Sunnyvale today and noticed a "Outdoor dining" sign on a tent that as far as I could tell completely enclosed the "outdoor dining". Â I would bet that that "outdoor" volume has fewer air replacements per hour than the adjacent indoor dining area (with forced air circulation).