02-07-2021, 03:34 AM
At about 4-months max, the initial vaccine studies might not even detect long-haulers (but most of these studies continue to watch people for 2 or 3 years).
I do think that the vaccine's reduction of the incidence of the disease in the general population (herd effect) will be the big effect that will drive the number of those with long-running symptoms to be very low.
You probably have never run into someone with polio since the 1960s. Even if your chances of getting long term effects from polio if you were to contract polio aren't reduced from the early 1950s by the vaccines, the fact that polio is non-existent in the US (since 1979) means that you don't have to worry about long-term effects.
I do think that the vaccine's reduction of the incidence of the disease in the general population (herd effect) will be the big effect that will drive the number of those with long-running symptoms to be very low.
You probably have never run into someone with polio since the 1960s. Even if your chances of getting long term effects from polio if you were to contract polio aren't reduced from the early 1950s by the vaccines, the fact that polio is non-existent in the US (since 1979) means that you don't have to worry about long-term effects.