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Total doses produced
#11
The US Census counts residents, including those in the US illegally/undocumented. It does not count US citizens residing abroad. The US has roughly 330M residents currently, but only 255M 18+. At this time, the vaccines are approved only for 16+ (Pfizer) or 18+ (Moderna).

For age-specific numbers from the census, I use this table.

For 2019, it estimates 328,239,523 for all ages,
263,534,161 for 16+,
255,271,738 for 18+.

My understanding is that the US is not providing vaccine for US citizens living abroad except for those on active military duty and Department of State personnel.

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The CDC COVID Data Tracker uses some population estimate that I don't understand. Today, it shows 5,452,575 doses distributed to California and indicates that is 13,800 per 100K. From that, one can calculate their per capita rate is based on a population of 32.8M. The census table above shows a total population of 39.5M, 18+ of 30.6M, 16+ of 31.6M.

Likewise, I don't know which population figure is used for the original distribution of vaccines. I thought it was 18+.

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Certainly for the ACS table I'm using, the US Census Bureau uses estimates, with an error estimate in the range of 0.1%. It is not a count for which they have a name for each person counted. The Census Bureau is aware of and combats the difficulty of counting those who don't want to be counted. For this estimate, I don't know whether illegal/undocumented/unauthorized individuals might be underestimated or overestimated. I presume they are estimated as closely as possible.

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For herd immunity, it is appropriate to compare vaccination numbers versus total population. For how far along a community is in vaccinating, it seems appropriate to compare to the eligible population.

I noticed that San Mateo County compares its vaccinated to a county population of 780,273, while the ACS table above shows a total population of 766,573, 18+ of 611, 781, 16+ of 630,766.
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Messages In This Thread
Total doses produced - by M_T - 01-22-2021, 01:54 AM
RE: Total doses produced - by cardcrimson - 01-22-2021, 07:50 AM
RE: Total doses produced - by magnus - 01-24-2021, 02:45 AM
RE: Total doses produced - by M_T - 01-24-2021, 04:57 AM
RE: Total doses produced - by M_T - 01-27-2021, 05:36 PM
RE: Total doses produced - by cardcrimson - 01-27-2021, 07:06 PM
RE: Total doses produced - by dabigv13 - 01-27-2021, 09:55 PM
RE: Total doses produced - by cardcrimson - 01-28-2021, 09:03 AM
RE: Total doses produced - by dabigv13 - 01-28-2021, 10:04 AM
RE: Total doses produced - by cardcrimson - 01-28-2021, 10:15 AM
RE: Total doses produced - by M_T - 01-28-2021, 11:56 AM
RE: Total doses produced - by cardcrimson - 01-28-2021, 01:48 PM
RE: Total doses produced - by M_T - 01-28-2021, 04:32 PM
RE: Total doses produced - by 82Card - 01-29-2021, 03:01 AM

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