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California Phase 1A, 1B & 1C vaccination guidelines
#4
Updating my earlier numbers (with 65+ moved)

CA Population: 39.5M
 0-15:  7.9M
16-49:  18.5M
50-64: 7.3M
65-74: 3.4M
75+:    2.6M
Eligible population (16+): 31.6M

California population numbers for each group below are from CA Vaccine plan  and other planning documents.
Double the numbers for doses needed.

Phase 1-A : 3M  9.5% of eligible population (Originally estimated as 2.5M people (300K Long Term Care residents & staff; 2.2M "front line" health care) 
   Roughly late January to have enough 1st doses

Phase 1-B Tier 1  8.5M  27% (8.5M was before 65-74 added)   11M, 35%   Total 11.5M - 14M or 36% - 44%
  75+: 2.6M   Census says 2.4M.  2.1M is a better estimate (2.4M - 300K LTCF)
  65-74:  2.5M   Census says 3.4M  3.1M is a better estimate (3.4M - 9.5%)
  Education & Child Care: 1.4M
  Emergency Services: 1.1M
  Food and Agriculture: 3.4M
At current production levels, the last of this group get first doses around April 1.

Phase 1-B Tier 2  3M  9.5%  Total:  14.5M-17M or 46%-54%
  Critical Manufacturing: 0.5M
  Facilities & Services: 1.1M
  Transportation & Logistics: 1.1M
  Incarcerated: 0.2M 
  Homeless: 0.1M 

Phase 1-C:  12M   38%   Total: 26.5M-29M or 84%-92%.
  50-64: 4.9M  (7.3M pop - 33% in prior phases)
  16-49 high risk: 5M   (40% of 18.5M 16-49 - 33% in prior phases)
  Chemical 0.2M
  Communications and IT 0.3M
  Defense 0.06M
  Energy  0.1M
  Finance  0.6M
  Govt  Ops, Community-Based  0.9M
  Water and Wastewater  0.02M

Everyone else:  2.6M - 5M
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RE: California Phase 1A, 1B & 1C vaccination guidelines - by M_T - 01-26-2021, 03:11 PM

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