01-24-2021, 04:43 AM
https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pages/dashboard-vaccine.aspx
Earlier in this thread, some people pointed out the link to the Covid dashboard. The dashboard has been updated and it also gives great information like ***appointments scheduled in the next 7 days***.
Unfortunately, I come away with a very pessimistic view at this point.
I guess the good news is that SCC has given 123000 first doses at 30000 second doses. That actually sounds pretty good compared to the rest of the country (with 2M people, that's 6.15% receiving first doses).
There are 3 pieces of bad news I see in the current dashboard:
1) Behind these "great numbers" -- look at Stanford healthcare which has given 22668 first doses. Sounds great, right? And they have already given 11,808 second doses and have another 11,000 second doses on hand. And curiously, they only have 6705 appointments next week. Add it all up -- That sure sounds like the only people they've given doses to so far -- or will be for the next 2 weeks -- are healthcare workers. (6705 appointments a week, and 11,000 second doses on hand to give...) Are patients getting any shots?
2) I heard 25% of Californians 65+ use Kaiser (from another thread on this board). Yet they have only 6440 appointments next week. If they have 25% of the elderly in SCC and 14% of the population is 65+ (the national average), that's 70,000 people or 140,000 doses. At a pace of 6440 doses a week, they'll be done with phase 1b tier 1 of their patients in 21 weeks. Or, around June 20th! That's just PHASE 1B-Tier 1!
3) If you look at the vaccinations, the County of Santa Clara Health System is doing all the heavy lifting. They've given 58,000 out of their 68,000 first doses (so very little is just being hoarded/squatted on), and have 20,771 appointments scheduled next week -- that's more than Kaiser, Stanford Health and the Palo Alto Medical Foundation COMBINED, even though in a recent interview Sara Cody said *most* SCC residents were supposed to get vaccinated by Kaiser and PAMF. .
It looks like the bottleneck are the healthcare providers. This characterization might make some bristle -- but from the numbers it looks like they did an amazing job of very quickly vaccinating tens of thousands of their own employees but are vaccinating their actual patients at an absolute trickle. At their combined pace (Kaiser + PAMF + Stanford Healthcare) of 18,000 doses a week, it would take them about 4 years to vaccinate the people in SCC (2 million people * 2 doses / 18,000 doses a week).
Even with SCC and its 20,000+ doses scheduled next week, we still have only 42,650 appointments next week, at this pace, it'll take SCC 93 weeks -- or close to 2 years -- to vaccinate everyone. This is not good.
Everyone, IN PARTICULAR THE HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS, need to pick up their pace. We may need to emulate the SoCal cities that are setting up mass inoculation sites in stadiums, run by the counties.
Earlier in this thread, some people pointed out the link to the Covid dashboard. The dashboard has been updated and it also gives great information like ***appointments scheduled in the next 7 days***.
Unfortunately, I come away with a very pessimistic view at this point.
I guess the good news is that SCC has given 123000 first doses at 30000 second doses. That actually sounds pretty good compared to the rest of the country (with 2M people, that's 6.15% receiving first doses).
There are 3 pieces of bad news I see in the current dashboard:
1) Behind these "great numbers" -- look at Stanford healthcare which has given 22668 first doses. Sounds great, right? And they have already given 11,808 second doses and have another 11,000 second doses on hand. And curiously, they only have 6705 appointments next week. Add it all up -- That sure sounds like the only people they've given doses to so far -- or will be for the next 2 weeks -- are healthcare workers. (6705 appointments a week, and 11,000 second doses on hand to give...) Are patients getting any shots?
2) I heard 25% of Californians 65+ use Kaiser (from another thread on this board). Yet they have only 6440 appointments next week. If they have 25% of the elderly in SCC and 14% of the population is 65+ (the national average), that's 70,000 people or 140,000 doses. At a pace of 6440 doses a week, they'll be done with phase 1b tier 1 of their patients in 21 weeks. Or, around June 20th! That's just PHASE 1B-Tier 1!
3) If you look at the vaccinations, the County of Santa Clara Health System is doing all the heavy lifting. They've given 58,000 out of their 68,000 first doses (so very little is just being hoarded/squatted on), and have 20,771 appointments scheduled next week -- that's more than Kaiser, Stanford Health and the Palo Alto Medical Foundation COMBINED, even though in a recent interview Sara Cody said *most* SCC residents were supposed to get vaccinated by Kaiser and PAMF. .
It looks like the bottleneck are the healthcare providers. This characterization might make some bristle -- but from the numbers it looks like they did an amazing job of very quickly vaccinating tens of thousands of their own employees but are vaccinating their actual patients at an absolute trickle. At their combined pace (Kaiser + PAMF + Stanford Healthcare) of 18,000 doses a week, it would take them about 4 years to vaccinate the people in SCC (2 million people * 2 doses / 18,000 doses a week).
Even with SCC and its 20,000+ doses scheduled next week, we still have only 42,650 appointments next week, at this pace, it'll take SCC 93 weeks -- or close to 2 years -- to vaccinate everyone. This is not good.
Everyone, IN PARTICULAR THE HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS, need to pick up their pace. We may need to emulate the SoCal cities that are setting up mass inoculation sites in stadiums, run by the counties.