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Vaccine effect reflected in elderly stats
#4
(03-19-2021, 04:57 AM)Hurlburt88 Wrote: NYT reporting this morning on how effective the UK's approach has been, with highlights on decision to delay 2nd injection in favor of covering more people in a shorter amount of time.  Speed over perfection theory.   Nice thing is that US seems to be up at 2.5M shots per day administered, with further increases planned.   I personally wonder if in early april we will start to see marketing campaigns as supply outstrips demand.

2.5M/day = 75M single doses in a month.  As of today, we're at 118M (77M 1st, 41M 2nd) administered.  As I recall, there are about 255M eligible for the vaccine (16+) or 510M doses.  We're short of shots in arms by 390M doses (ignoring J&J single doses).  That's roughly 5 months at the current rate.

The US has bought more vaccine than needed for initial (2-dose) vaccination of the US population and we're awaiting manufacturing & delivery.  I see the current administration has converted health dollars into immigration policy dollars by "loaning" AZ vaccines (already stockpiled but not approved) to Mexico, reportedly to get Mexico to align its policies more in line with what this administration wants.   The administration could also have been offered the doses to France where their rate of new cases appears to be much higher than Mexico.

Fauci has foreseen the marketing and so advises "Take whatever is available to you first."  But I do know I have opinions as to which I'd prefer my daughter to get when her turn comes up.  If there are 3 or 4 options out there, she may prefer one and be able to get in that line.


By the way, just using SCC numbers, the weekly new cases are down by a factor of almost 10x from the peak.  The two mRNA vaccines reduce your chance of getting the disease by a factor of 20x.  So, just from the reduction of the disease in the commonity (which started dropping before the vaccines had any effect), the general public is less likely o get infected to an extent better than the J&J vaccine.
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RE: Vaccine effect reflected in elderly stats - by M_T - 03-19-2021, 01:10 PM

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