Share on Facebook Share on Twitter

Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Nobody talks about super-spreading events any more
#1
I didn't see this widely reported. "Following the Coachella Valley Music and Arts and Stagecoach country music festivals, which took place over three consecutive weekends in April, Riverside County is reporting a substantial jump in coronavirus infections. COVID-19 cases have increased 736% in the region around the Empire Polo Club in Indio, the venue where the festivals were held, since May 1, according to the Desert Sun. Hospitalizations are also on the rise, according to the report. There were 62 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in the region as of Friday, up 12 from Tuesday."



If you look at the report of the American Academy of Pediatrics, you will see that all the early B.S. about kids not getting COVID or not spreading COVID was invalid. The cases are running currently and overall about 19% of the adult cases. It isn't clear to me how much that depends upon surveillance methods applied to the two groups. If one state reports a higher percentage of child cases, is that just a result of their relative surveillance? 

For children, during the pandemic there have been 17.5 reports of cases for every 100 children. I am quite certain that the real number of cases is much higher, but the AAP doesn't show any antibody testing results. 

While there was news about passing 1M deaths in the US, I didn't hear about the US passing 1000 deaths of children due to COVID just a couple of weeks before. 

There have been nearly 40,000 child hospitalizations due to COVID. The percentage of children hospitalized relative to adults has been growing steadily since vaccines became available for adults. (In the 25 states & NYC that report numbers, last week there were 3,962 new hospitalizations of which 182 were children (4.6%).)
Reply
#2
(05-17-2022, 10:38 AM)M_T Wrote: For children, during the pandemic there have been 17.5 reports of cases for every 100 children. I am quite certain that the real number of cases is much higher, but the AAP doesn't show any antibody testing results. 

Don't know if you saw this a few weeks ago, but the CDC was estimating 75%(!) of children had gotten COVID based on an antibody study.
Reply
#3
Big topic of conversation among my peers.

We certainly didn't see or test most of those kids.

In Oakland, where I work, the public school system and many private schools required vaccination for school attendance by January 1 for ages 12 and up. I'm betting our percentages of positive titers is lower.

Kids catch the other Coronaviruses constantly, which we're now pretty sure confers some cross immunity. This is likely why so few kids get seriously ill. The problem is that kids have been isolated from their peers and masked, meaning that titers for these other Coronaviruses are falling. It may be safer for younger kids not to be isolated and masked. No one really knows.
Reply
#4
I saw one article on what I'd describe as unintended side-effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID.  The relative isolation of individuals may have disturbed a balance of exposure to other diseases, allowing antibodies to them to be lower than usual.  As a result we may see waves of infections that are different than in earlier years.  (I'm hedging my words here as I'm not quoting an expert, but paraphrasing.)
Reply


Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)