Full Version: It ain't over
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We grow tired of a constant fight.  However,  ....

As of November 2021, Europe's number one cause of death is COVID.

Here are the current world and US levels of COVID weekly cases and deaths. 
I wouldn't count on the cases being actual, but the deaths are probably closer.
The fact that the number of cases in the US is on the rise means that deaths will
soon be on the rise.  But for now, there are just over 50,000 COVID deaths a week in the
world, with approximately 8,000 COVID deaths a week in the US (out of a normal 60K deaths).

[Image: Covid20211128.png]
(Sorry, the right-hand side of the thumbnail is truncated.  Click on it to see the full image.)

Approximately the middle of each graph is where vaccines first came available.
As you probably have heard, Germany is locking down.  Unvaccinated are most restricted, but some businesses are facing restrictions.  Mandatory vaccinations are also being pursued.

Quote:Under the tightened restrictions, unvaccinated people can only meet two people from another household. Bars and nightclubs must shut down in areas with an incidence rate above 350 cases per 100,000 people over one week. And the country would limit the number of people at large events like soccer matches.

For comparison, the US is at half that incidence rate (that triggers shut downs for bars & nightclubs), at 175 cases per 100K people in 7 days.

Vaccines administered in Germany are spiking toward their highest level.  I wonder if those are boosters or are previously unvaccinated getting their first shots.
I didn't want to start a new thread....

Santa Clara County (CA) gives 3 different sets of numbers for daily numbers.

  1. How many new cases have been tallied by the time of a new daily announcement.  They've taken to just saying what the grand total is, and a running average.  The daily increment is hard to find.
  2. How many new cases were from samples taken on a certain date.  This number is shown in their dashboard. But recent dates aren't yet complete.  Some of the samples taken on Monday may come back on Monday, or Tuesday, or Wednesday, or...
  3. How many positive results were in samples taken on a certain date.  This number is shown in their test positivity data.  A person with COVID that takes two PCR tests on Monday and two more on Tuesday would show up as one positive test on Monday and one on Tuesday.  (If they didn't have a recent positive test before Monday, they'd show up as a new case only on Monday)
As of January 10, with maybe some data outstanding, 0.9% of SCC's population were newly confirmed COVID cases (#2 above) total across the 3 days January 3 to 5 (roughly 6,000/day)   Test positivity those days was about 15%.   And that's just PCR numbers.

I looked at Houston's data at  They had a speedometer-style gauge for average daily new cases in the 9-county Greater Houston Area (about 7.2M people) with a top "speed" of  3000 cases per day.     They broke it.  Not once, not twice, not three times, but 4 times around.  13,555 cases per day.  Still that's "only" 0.56% of the population in 3 days.  They're having 29% test positivity.

Thankfully, the hospitalizations aren't going up at that rate.   We'll see about "Long Covid"