08-12-2021, 07:57 PM

The American Assn of Pediatricians gives weekly numbers for COVID in children. Â Their numbers are extracted from the states' public data, and of course each state does it differently. Â What counts as children may be ages 0-17, 0-18, 0-19, or 0-20.

Children and COVID-19: State-Level Data Report

Among their data was a state-by-state breakdown of what percent of children's cases resulted in hospitalization. Â I thought this was a useful number to know, so I calculated it from the CDC tables by dividing

hospitalizations/100K for age group in last week Â by

cases/100K for age group in last week

These numbers are likely to be low because cases are climbing and hospitalizations lag behind cases. Â But it is a first crack at it.

From:

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker...csovertime

https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html

Week endingÂ 7/31/2021

AgeÂ Â Wk Cases/100KÂ Hosp/100KÂ Â Â Hosp/Cases

Â 0-4 Â Â 59.8Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 1.2Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 2.0%

Â 5-11 Â 84.8Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 0.4Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 0.5%

12-15 Â 96.4Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â

12-17 ~104.5 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 0.7Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 0.7%

16-17Â 120.8

18-29Â 157.9Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 2.7Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 1.7%Â

30-39Â 146.7Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 5.5Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 3.7%Â

40-49Â 120.2Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 7.0Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 5.8%

50-64Â Â 84.1Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 8.3Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 9.9%

65-74Â Â 59.3Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 9.6Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 16.2%

75+Â Â Â Â 52.4Â Â Â Â Â Â ~13.7Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 26.1%

75-84Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 12.7

85+Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 16.3

Because the age ranges were different, I had to calculate some of the numbers from others, indicated by "~"

I find these numbers surprisingly high. Â Ok, maybe 26% of 75+ have to be hospitalized. Â That seems dramatic. Â But one out of 6 cases in the age group 65-74 have to be hospitalized? Â One out of 10 cases in 50-64? Â One out of 200 K-6 student cases? Â (Remember, they aren't vaccinated)

The average size of a primary school in the US is 442 (in 1999-2000). Â If COVID burns through all the unvaccinated students, an average of 2 will need to be hospitalized.

Children and COVID-19: State-Level Data Report

Among their data was a state-by-state breakdown of what percent of children's cases resulted in hospitalization. Â I thought this was a useful number to know, so I calculated it from the CDC tables by dividing

hospitalizations/100K for age group in last week Â by

cases/100K for age group in last week

These numbers are likely to be low because cases are climbing and hospitalizations lag behind cases. Â But it is a first crack at it.

From:

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker...csovertime

https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html

Week endingÂ 7/31/2021

AgeÂ Â Wk Cases/100KÂ Hosp/100KÂ Â Â Hosp/Cases

Â 0-4 Â Â 59.8Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 1.2Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 2.0%

Â 5-11 Â 84.8Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 0.4Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 0.5%

12-15 Â 96.4Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â

12-17 ~104.5 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 0.7Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 0.7%

16-17Â 120.8

18-29Â 157.9Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 2.7Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 1.7%Â

30-39Â 146.7Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 5.5Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 3.7%Â

40-49Â 120.2Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 7.0Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 5.8%

50-64Â Â 84.1Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 8.3Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 9.9%

65-74Â Â 59.3Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 9.6Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 16.2%

75+Â Â Â Â 52.4Â Â Â Â Â Â ~13.7Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 26.1%

75-84Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 12.7

85+Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 16.3

Because the age ranges were different, I had to calculate some of the numbers from others, indicated by "~"

I find these numbers surprisingly high. Â Ok, maybe 26% of 75+ have to be hospitalized. Â That seems dramatic. Â But one out of 6 cases in the age group 65-74 have to be hospitalized? Â One out of 10 cases in 50-64? Â One out of 200 K-6 student cases? Â (Remember, they aren't vaccinated)

The average size of a primary school in the US is 442 (in 1999-2000). Â If COVID burns through all the unvaccinated students, an average of 2 will need to be hospitalized.